Every once in a while someone brings up some good questions to the myriad of gold speculators whom seem to be preparing for some end of the world scenario. The most obvious question seems to be: If the world economy really goes bust, what good is gold going to do? After all, you can't eat it and if you're preparing for such a bad scenario, would it not be more prudent to buy something that has value in a barter such as food, water, gasoline or ammo?
I think what a lot of people are looking at when discussing these
potential situations is the axiom that it's going to be a world wide
phenomenon. If American inflation get's to the point where foreign debt
holders choose sell their debt into the open market, you are going to have see a much different
scenario than a global collapse, you'll see a global purchasing power shift. The dollar's status as the reserve currency means it has utility beyond just a debt
obligation to the Federal Reserve. A loss of the reserve status would mean you now cannot use the
dollar to buy oil or other global commodities. So those dollars would make
their way back here to the U.S. since that's the only place they can be used.
Gold might be completely useless for a while here in the U.S. as it's
utility might only be used by a small amount of people whom can interact
globally, as the majority might need something that can be used locally
for barter. But after everyone comes to the realization that the world
(mainly China, India, S.E. Asia) in actuality do not need the U.S. consumer (which at its origins is a completely
laughable perspective), the value of those respective countries currencies
increases as the excess goods that they were once making bound for the
U.S. and Europe now are kept domestically causing the prices for those
goods to fall. The law of one price sets in and then you might see gold take
off. (Since the price of gold to their currency remains the same)
That's the gold bug's point. Now his purchasing power will increase both
nominally and in even real term in the long run, since everyone else now
concerned about the short run, he might have a good opportunity to
purchase assets locally at a huge discount for his gold.
"The best time to buy is when there is blood in the streets."
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